Although certainly buried underneath the bigger story lines near the top of the third College Football Playoff committee rankings this week, Nebraska’s drop three spots during a bye week is telling. Apparently the committee continues to be willing to punish teams severely for losses that look worse as the season goes along, and the Big Ten also fails to get the benefit of the doubt when comparing similar records.
Thus, Michigan State loses for a second time and Nebraska ends up suffering the consequence. The Cornhuskers are one of only ten teams in the Power Five conferences with fewer than two losses, but eight of those teams are in the top 8 of the CFP rankings while Nebraska sits at No. 16 (it could be worse, Duke is 8-1 and even lower at No. 21).
The general consensus is that Ohio State at No. 8 will have a hard time making the top 4 by the end of the season, while Nebraska has been apparently written off. However, a back-loaded schedule and some mitigating factors from previous opponents may create a small window of opportunity for Bo Pelini’s team to shoot back up in the rankings.
Despite what Andy said earlier this week about the Big Ten getting more respect from the committee, Nebraska will have to earn this jump in the rankings the hard way. They need to win big, and hope for more chaos than we’ve seen since the 2007 season, when a two-loss LSU squad took home the national title.
But it could happen, and here’s how.
The first step is obvious, win out and do so convincingly. The schedule is actually respectable the rest of the way, as Wisconsin and Ohio State/Michigan State (B1G Championship Game opponent) will be ranked when playing Nebraska, and Minnesota could be if the Gophers upset OSU this weekend. The road game at Iowa is also no simple task, as the Hawkeyes will have a winning record also. So 12-1 is a must.
Although Ohio State, UCLA, Arizona and Georgia each jumped past the Cornhuskers this week, it is unlikely that the next teams behind Nebraska will do the same thanks to LSU having three losses already and Notre Dame and Clemson being shells of their former selves this season. That means Nebraska must move past 12 of the 15 teams in front of them. Let’s break it down by conference:
- SEC: (1) Mississippi State, (5) Alabama, (9) Auburn, (10) Mississippi, (15) Georgia
- Pac-12: (2) Oregon, (6) Arizona State, (11) UCLA, (14) Arizona
- ACC: (3) Florida State
- Big 12: (4) TCU, (7) Baylor, (13) Kansas State
- Big Ten: (8) Ohio State, (12) Michigan State
The most important piece of the puzzle and the most straightforward will be Florida State losing, preferably this weekend against Miami, which Nebraska defeated in non-conference play. Although FSU would not immediately drop behind Nebraska, the Cornhuskers would likely overtake the Seminoles at the end as a 12-1 conference champion, considering all of the struggles FSU has experienced in games this season (plus the Miami game comparison would be used). The Seminoles could hypothetically be knocked out by Florida or Duke as well, but Miami makes for a better case overall for Nebraska to jump past the Seminoles.
For the Big Ten, it may seem beneficial to have Minnesota be ranked next week when Nebraska plays them, but a more impressive victory at the end against a potential top-4 foe in Ohio State would be even better. Therefore, Nebraska needs to hope for OSU to win out and then lose in Indianapolis to the Huskers. Michigan State preferably needs to take on one more loss as well, and Maryland this week would be a good opportunity for that. However, if Nebraska defeats OSU convincingly, the Big Ten champion would likely jump a 10-2 MSU team despite the head-to-head result when these teams played in East Lansing. So winning out should jump Nebraska past both Big Ten teams ahead of it.
That leaves three conferences, and the goal will be to have each conference end up with only one legitimate playoff contender. Here’s how that can happen:
In the Big 12, Kansas State still faces tough road games at WVU and at Baylor. West Virginia knocked off the Bears and nearly did the same to the Horned Frogs in Morgantown, so it would be no surprise to see Kansas State take on a critical third loss there. Then the Wildcats need to take down Baylor, which is anchored down by a weak overall schedule already. There’s no way a two-loss Baylor squad ends up ahead of a 12-1 Big Ten champion, so that would leave only TCU ahead of Nebraska.
As a side note, TCU could also hypothetically lose at Texas, which is the last tough-ish game remaining for the Horned Frogs. If that happens, Nebraska may be able to survive having Florida State stay undefeated, as then the Big 12 would not have a playoff representative. So to summarize, only one of TCU or FSU can win out.
In the Pac-12, the easiest path will be to have all the South Division competitors lose another game, and this is totally plausible. UCLA has been inconsistent and must still play USC and Stanford, so the Bruins need to lose one of those games. Then the loser of Arizona and Arizona State would be eliminated on the last week of the season, with the winner going on to be eliminated in the Pac-12 title game by Oregon. An alternative path would be for Utah to beat Arizona, then Arizona to beat ASU, which would put UCLA in position to lose to Oregon again. Either way, all three of these teams need another loss and then a 12-1 Nebraska will jump everyone but Oregon in the Pac-12.
In the SEC, we will first assume Georgia takes on another loss either against Auburn, Georgia Tech or in the SEC championship (assuming Missouri loses again and lets Georgia get there). It just seems more likely that the SEC West champion will be the winner, anyway. Although it would be nice for Georgia to take out Auburn this weekend, that is not necessary for Nebraska to jump all but one of the SEC West teams.
Thanks to having all games left at home (and perhaps the strongest team in America when playing at home), Alabama is the logical choice to win out and stay ahead of Nebraska. That would mean Mississippi State has to lose twice, at Alabama and at Mississippi in the Egg Bowl. To keep Ole Miss from using that win to stay in front of Nebraska, the Rebels must be upset at Arkansas next weekend as well. Auburn would take a loss at Georgia and/or at Alabama in this scenario. Thus, the biggest reach necessary in the SEC is to have Bret Bielema’s Razorbacks finally win a SEC game, which would open the door for Nebraska.
So the playoff dream is a mighty long shot at this point, but it is still plausible. Essentially, Nebraska needs two major upsets from the following list:
- Miami or Florida defeats Florida State
- Texas defeats TCU
- Arkansas defeats Ole Miss
Never say never Huskers fans, but the results must begin this weekend. Taking care of Wisconsin in Camp Randall will be task enough, but hope is still there for at least one more week.
Keyshawn Johnson Jr. unsurprisingly transferring from Huskers
Following a summer pot citation and his dad pulling him from school, Keyshawn Johnson Jr. announces his transfer.
Did you know that Keyshawn Johnson Jr. was a member of the Nebraska Cornhuskers program? Chances are, if you blinked you missed his time on campus.
That’s what happens when you get busted for pot possession and your dad brings you home to teach you a lesson or two.
The elder Johnson made sure to make a statement when pulling his kid out of school just days in to his time there. He made it clear that there were higher (no pun intended) expectations of his son.
“One thing you will not do as my son is you will not embarrass Nebraska, you will not embarrass Mike Riley and you will not embarrass this family,” Johnson Sr. told the Omaha World-Herald. “If you mature and you’re ready to resume your football career and academic goals, then Nebraska will be ready to embrace you.”
So, it shouldn’t come as a surprise that the former 4-star recruit with the famous name isn’t going to continue his career at Nebraska.
On Friday, the younger Johnson announced his decision to not return to the University of Nebraska-Lincoln.
Trust the process… pic.twitter.com/xus0UQOmb4
— Keyshawn Jr. (@keyshawnnnn) December 15, 2017
The combination of his citation for marijuana possession and the coaching change likely sealed the deal for this move.
Johnson Jr. enrolled early, coming to Lincoln in January, but suffered an illness that he couldn’t shake for parts of spring practice. He appeared in the spring game, but caught just one pass for 7 yards.
Nebraska could use the depth at wide receiver, but with a new regime in place and his father having no relationship with the new staff this move is not surprising.
Frost turning to Florida to bring speed to Huskers program
Frost is leaning on his Florida ties in hoping to shape his roster in his image quicker than expected.
Scott Frost has technically only been on the job for the Nebraska Cornhuskers for less than a week, but he clearly has had a gameplan in place for a while now.
That much is evident not only by how quickly he’s gotten a staff together, but by the details on the recruiting trail.
Normally it takes time to evaluate what is on a roster in front of you and figure out what is needed. That process didn’t take long (or likely took place last week as he waited to take the job formally), because Frost has attacked the recruiting trail hard in his first week on the job.
So, what is his evaluation of the Huskers program? It is in need of speed, speed and more speed.
Frost has decided that in order to get his team up to speed he needs to do so buy finding that speed right in his old back yard.
It’s a move that makes sense, as Frost has built good relationships in Florida and that is where some of the best high school talent in the country exists today.
Nebraska’s 247Sports site, Huskers Illustrated, had a really good talk on the inner workings of what Frost has done already on the recruiting trail on this week’s Notorious B1G Podcast (because who doesn’t love an all-Big Ten recruiting podcast?)
Mike Riley and Co. spent less time on Florida and more time on the West Coast, which should’ve been expected given Riley’s ties in that direction. But, the crop of pure athletes out West is nothing compared to the depth of speed and athleticism that exists in Florida.
Ironically, Frost’s first offer came from out West as the No. 8-ranked dual-threat quarterback, Adrian Martinez, was offered within hours of Frost getting the job.
That move and all the ones made since his hire show Frost has come in with a clear knowledge of his system, who fits it on the recruiting trail and who fits it currently on the roster. Having that kind of confidence and work-rate are a welcome sight in Lincoln.
But, Frost isn’t just hitting the ground running on the recruiting trail either.
He’s also been taking time to speak to the national media and spread the gospel of what he wants to build at Nebraska. Frost spoke on the Jim Rome Show on Thursday and didn’t buy the notion that recruiting to Lincoln, Neb. is a difficult task.
“There’s absolutely no reason we can’t get kids to Lincoln, Nebraska,” Frost said, via Land of 10. “Kids leave places right now and go everywhere around the country. There’s no reason kids won’t go to Lincoln if they’re going to Columbus, Ann Arbor, and Eugene, Oregon.
“And I think we’re going to create an environment, a football environment in Lincoln that people are going to want to be a part of.”
Success in turning a program around often hinges on the first recruiting class to come in. That’s not to say this class should be put at the feet of Frost and his staff entirely, but if they can put a stamp on an already nice class it could be the one that breaks a mediocre mold for the Huskers program.
No matter what, Frost and his staff aren’t afraid to be aggressive and go after the type of player they need. That alone has to be a refreshing sign of change for the Husker faithful.
Huskers hope Scott Frost hire brings back glory days
Native son returns home to lead program he once was the star quarterback of. Can the glory days return with the Huskers dipping in to their past?
What had become the worst-kept secret in college football’s coaching carousel became official on Saturday afternoon. Just hours after leading his UCF Knights to a crazy 62-55 double overtime win over Memphis in the American Athletic Conference championship game, Frost bolted for a gig back home.
UCF’s 247sports site announced the news, noting that Forst will not coach the team in the upcoming bowl game. However, after the AAC championship game, UCF’s AD noted that Frost and the entire coaching staff would coach through the Peach Bowl.
Nebraska athletics director Bill Moos named Frost the new Huskers head coach, ending a search many thought would start and end with Frost first.
There is no place like home.
There is no place like Nebraska.
— ❄️ Nebraska Football ❄️ (@HuskerFBNation) December 2, 2017
“It is a great honor and privilege to have the opportunity to return to Nebraska and to lead the Husker football program,” Frost said in a statement released by the school. “I have been fortunate to be at a wonderful school the last two years, but Nebraska is a special place with a storied tradition and a fan base which is second to none. I am truly humbled to be hereee. The state of Nebraska and the Husker program mean a great deal to me. This is home.
“I am appreciative of the confidence Bill Moos and our University leadership have in me to lead this program. I would not have the opportunity to be in this position without a lot of great people who have helped me throughout my career. Specifically, I would like to thank Coach Osborne who has played such an integral role in my life over the past two decades, both on and off the field. Go Big Red!”
In bringing a native son and former Huskers quarterback in to the fold to lead the program, Nebraska is clearly hoping the magic of the mid 1990’s can rub off on the program once again.
Frost was integral in the Huskers success in the 90’s, where he was a star quarterback for two years after transferring home from Stanford. He led the program to a 24-2 record as the starter and became just the 10th player in major college football history to pass for 1,000 yards and rush for 1,000 yards.
He had a cup of coffee in the NFL, but was moved from quarterback to safety and just couldn’t find his way in the league.
While thoughts of Frost leading the Huskers offense are likely to bring smiles back to the Husker faithful, the reality of today’s program won’t.
It’s been a rough go since the calendar turned over to the year 2000, as the Huskers haven’t won a single conference championship since 1999.
Frost faces a big challenge, as the Huskers vaunted defense has fallen on hard times and the program just got done with a 4-8 season under Mike Riley. Luckily for the Husker faithful, Frost isn’t going to be caught off-guard by the challenges of a turnaround.
He took over a UCF program that went winless the year before he came to campus and had them 6-7 and going bowling in his first season. This year his team went undefeated in the regular season, joining the Wisconsin Badgers as the only two undefeated teams in the country after the regular season finished up.
Frost also led the Knights to the AAC championship despite a ton of off-field distraction surrounding his job status and rumors about Florida, Nebraska and Oregon interest in his services.
Now the pressure will be on to get the Huskers back to championship football, and soon.
3 names Nebraska Cornhuskers should consider in replacing Mike Riley
Does the Huskers coaching search really begin and end with Scott Frost?
Most of the time, head coaching searches and the media equal a whole lot of names and not a lot of facts to back them up. Thankfully, with Nebraska athletic director Bill Moos being so candid in his press conference yesterday, we know exactly what Moos is looking for and don’t have to speculate.
What you won’t see here is a list of hot assistant coaches or lower-level names looking to make a big jump into FBS football. Moos let us all know it’s a pool of six names and that he’s looking for someone with previous head coaching experience.
Knowing there are six names in the top drawer of Moos’ desk, we’re here to let you know the three names we hope will be on the list and the names we’d be considering if we were in his shoes.
Of course, this list isn’t to say others aren’t on it, but again this is our opinion on who should be there for the Huskers.
Scott Frost, UCF Head Coach
This is the obvious name that will be on every list, and he should be. He’s got the Nebraska pedigree, he’s got the high-powered offense everyone wants to see and he’s got the UCF Knights in a position to pull off an undefeated season. All that stands in the way of that is the AAC title game and a New Year’s Six bowl game.
Should Frost’s team win the title game next weekend, it begs the question of timing. Would Frost really bolt with a perfect season and a New Year’s Six bowl game on the line? Would Nebraska be willing to wait it out and hope the recruiting class can stay intact until Frost can get to Lincoln in January?
All of those questions are valid, but about the biggest question to be answered is if Frost wants to leave UCF after just two seasons or not. While the money and temptation of “going home” is certainly a big pull, so is building something special at a program like UCF. Is jumping ship so quickly what Frost really wants? Or does he want to build something and wait for the job he really wants?
Money certainly doesn’t seem to be too big an obstacle and with Florida apparently set to hire Dan Mullen, the door seems wide open for Frost if he so chooses.
Craig Bohl, Wyoming Head Coach
This is a name I thought the Huskers should’ve looked at the last time they made a move for a head coach. Hindsight is always 20-20, but the good news is that Bohl has only gone on to do himself a lot of favors in his time as the head coach at Wyoming. The Cowboys have gone from a doormat to a very good Mountain West team in his short time in Laramie.
Oh, and if you need roots in Nebraska, Bohl has them. I mean, he was the linebackers coach while the Huskers were winning national championships in the 1990’s and left after three years as the defensive coordinator (2000-2002) to take over the NDSU program. If you want to bring the blackshirts back, Bohl knows what that is all about.
But, what about recruiting with a “non-sexy” hire like Bohl?
If ever there’s proof that a good coach can recruit to difficult situations and develop talent, it is Bohl at Wyoming. He’s turned a program that is sub .500 in its history in to a program that went 8-6 and 7-5 over the last two seasons. Additionally, the program has finished first or second in the Mountain division each of the past two years.
Then there’s the fact that he turned North Dakota State in to the ultimate power team in the FCS division as well.
Let’s just say, for Midwest coaches it is hard to find a more impressive resume than what Bohl has already put together. His ability to reach recruits and run a fun offense to watch along with quality defense should fit the mold well for the Huskers. The question some may ask if this hire moves the needle enough for the outside world to get on board.
Having been around the game long enough, internally, few coaches are more respected than Bohl, and that can make a lot of difference when you are trying to get everyone pushing in the same direction — from the administration to the boosters and regular fans. Bohl has a lot of what Moos would like to see in a head coach.
Matt Campbell, Iowa State Head Coach
We know this is a name that Moos has high interest in to say the least. Campbell was a big winner at Toledo and he’s gotten the Iowa State Cyclones back to winning football in just two seasons. Wins over both Oklahoma (on the road) and TCU (at home) showcased just what kind of coaching job Campbell is capable of.
But, like Frost, he’s in the middle of rebuilding and building something special right where he is at. Campbell also has one hefty buyout in his contract. While, money again doesn’t seem to be an object, Campbell’s reported $9 million buyout is certainly a hefty price to pay.
Personally, I love what Campbell has been able to do for the Iowa State program and what we’ve seen on the field from the Cyclones would be a great fit for the Huskers too. Campbell’s team played easily the best defense of anyone in the defense-absent Big 12 conference and his offenses showcased speed and power at the same time.
That’s the combination that can win games in Lincoln. But, again there is one big question that only one person can answer and that person is Matt Campbell.
Does Campbell see Nebraska as a step up or a lateral move? We could argue the merits of that all day, but in the end it really depends on if Campbell believes Ames is a place where winning football can become the norm instead of the special season. If he believes in what he’s building there, prying him away from the Cyclones may be hard. As hard as apparently winning conference championships has been for the Huskers.
Analysis of What Will Actually Happen:
In the end, this search begins and ends with Scott Frost. With Florida being reportedly rebuffed by Frost and hiring Dan Mullen away from Mississippi State it seems as if the writing is on the wall.
That said, I also subscribe to the “sometimes the simplest answer is the right answer” philosophy. When it comes to Nebraska’s coaching search that simple answer is Frost.
But, should something crazy happen and the Nebraska alum not want to take the job, it wouldn’t hurt to have Craig Bohl as your backup plan. All the dude does is win football games and win a lot of them. His championship pedigree with Nebraska and North Dakota State should be all that Moos would need to go in his direction should Frost say no.
I’m fully expecting Moos to be able to get his man though. The stars are just aligning too well for it not to happen. Let’s see if the Huskers can get the man they probably should’ve hired the last time, this time around.
As for the timing, I fully expect this deal to be done this time tomorrow (Monday). It also will come with the stipulation that Frost coaches out the season for UCF should they move on to the New Years Six bowl game many expect to happen. That part will be the tricky part of the negotiations if you ask me, especially because of the early signing period that is in place for the first time.