When: Sat., Nov. 7; 7 p.m. ET
Where: Lincoln, NE; Memorial Stadium
All-Time Series: Nebraska leads, 7-2
Last Meeting: Michigan State 27-22 (2014)
Line: Michigan State -5
This was supposed to be the best cross-division game on the entire conference schedule heading into the season, as Nebraska and Michigan State have competed for conference championships each of the past four seasons. However, this game has been largely overshadowed by a big slate of national games and thanks to Nebraska’s struggles in 2015. Granted, this game still has playoff implications for the undefeated Spartans, but this is now a game that pundits think should be easily won instead of a big test.
Will Michigan State overlook the Cornhusker threat or come out slow following the bye in a hostile night game road environment (Nebraska has won 16 straight night games at Memorial Stadium)? Let’s count to five and preview this old Legends Division rivalry.
1 Burning Question: Does Nebraska muster the best effort of the season with bowl eligibility on the line?
Before last week’s game against Purdue, Nebraska needed three wins in four games to make a bowl after the 3-5 start. The Cornhuskers had lost a lot of tough heartbreakers, so even with two Top-10 teams left on the docket in Michigan State and Iowa, it did still seem like the Cornhuskers could turn it around and get one of those big games to make the postseason. One surprising loss at West Lafayette later, and now Nebraska needs to win out against those tougher teams to make a bowl.
That seems unlikely to happen, but the Cornhuskers are a proud program that has not missed a bowl in quite some time. Bo Pelini might have lost four games a season, but he never lost more than that, which put Nebraska in the postseason consistently. With Mike Reilly perhaps not being given as much time to make things work, it is important that this team show some progress before the end of the year.
Michigan State has had trouble putting teams away decisively though, including a 1-2 record against the spread in road games. The one cover in that time period was the miracle win against rival Michigan, so take that for what it’s worth. That may explain why this line seems very low for a game between an 8-0 team and a 3-6 team, as perhaps Vegas expects continued struggles by the Spartans or a great performance by Nebraska here.
It’s put up or shut up time for Nebraska. If the Cornhuskers want to avoid a historically bad season, this team needs to play the best game of the year.
2 Key Stats
— 33.4 and 33.3. That is scoring average for these teams, ranking only behind Ohio State in the conference this season. One big reason to tune into this night game is if you like big offense, as this could become a Big 12-like affair. Both teams have struggled to defend the pass this season, which bodes well for two of the more effective quarterbacks in the league Connor Cook and Tommy Armstrong (assuming the latter plays, as planned). Both teams will move the ball and likely eclipse 400 yards in this contest, meaning last team with the ball might just win, as is typical in Nebraska games this season.
— 39.0 (MSU) and 69.6 (NEB). That’s the average penalty yardage per game for these teams. Other than the series of brutal losses in every close game imaginable, Nebraska fans have been highly frustrated by the lack of discipline this team has shown. That shows up most notably in two areas, turnovers and penalties. Michigan State is 18 turnovers better in turnover margin and 30 yards per game better in penalties committed, which is a lot of yardage and mistakes/big plays to overcome. With Nebraska’s defense not playing great, this lack of discipline for the Cornhuskers helps explain the 3-6 record.
3 Key Players
Connor Cook, Michigan State QB — Cook has thrown two, yes just TWO, interceptions on the season. That’s an upperclassman leader who knows when to throw the ball and when to save a play for another day or another series. Thanks to the emergence of Aaron Burbridge as a top target (104 yards receiving per game), Cook has been able to lead the Spartan offense to over 250 yards passing per game. Nebraska is actually fairly tough on defense against the run, but the secondary and pass coverage is putrid. Cook should have his best game of the season against this defense.
Shilique Calhoun, Michigan State DE — Calhoun may have gotten off to a slow start this season as more attention was directed his way, but the better play across the Spartan defensive line has opened up more opportunities for him to make big impact plays. Calhoun now has 8 sacks on the season to go with 10.5 tackles for loss. His play in pressuring and containing the running ability of Tommy Armstrong will be key for Michigan State to have a good game defensively against the potent Nebraska offense.
Jordan Westerkamp, Nebraska WR — Much like Nebraska, Michigan State has struggled at times to stop the passing game, as the so-called “no fly zone” has not lived up to that billing against top-level quarterbacks this season. With Armstrong perhaps not being willing to risk himself in the running game when not fully healthy, he will need a big effort out of his top receiver Westerkamp to make the big plays necessary to hang around with the Spartans on Saturday night. As Westerkamp and the Nebraska receivers go, so will the offense and also the chances for the upset by the home team.
4 Bold Prognostications
Both teams go over 400 yards of offense: This was briefly mentioned above when talking about the offensive scoring stats, but I expect both of these quarterbacks to lead their offenses to big days against struggling defenses. There will be no appearance by the No Fly Zone or the Blackshirts on Saturday night, as this becomes a shootout to beat all shootouts in the Big Ten, except for that crazy Rutgers-Indiana game last month.
Michigan State generates 3 turnovers: Nebraska has given up the ball 17 times this year, which is about two turnovers per game. I expect this to be a sloppy effort by both teams, with MSU turning the ball over a couple of times but still winning the turnover battle thanks to a couple of Tommy Armstrong interceptions and a fumble. Instead of deciding the game, these turnovers will simply be the interesting shifts in momentum as this game ebbs and flows with tons of offense.
Michigan State gets a red zone defensive stop: Nebraska has been the second most efficient Big Ten team in the red zone, scoring on 36 of 39 trips there. This includes 27 touchdowns, which leads the conference. However, whether it is by a turnover or a fourth-down stop, I predict that the Spartans will find a way to stop the Husker machine inside the red zone at least once this game. It will be a bend-but-don’t-break defensive effort anyway for MSU, if my other bold predictions turn out correct.
Jordan Westerkamp ends with more receiving yards than Aaron Burbrurdge: These are two of the top receivers in the conference but Burbridge has owned a clear edge statistically in receptions and in yards per contest. Despite Nebraska’s pass defense being worse on the whole compared to the MSU pass defense, I expect Westerkamp to have the better day overall as Armstrong will need to rely on him much more than Cook has to rely on any one of his targets to be effective. Westerkamp breaks at least one, if not more big plays to shorten the gap in receiving average between him and Burbridge following this game on Saturday night.
5 Staff Predictions: (overall season record; record against the spread)
Andy: Michigan State 31-27 (68-17 overall; 37-47 ATS)
Dave: Michigan State 33-20 (69-16 overall; 44-39 ATS)
Greg: Michigan State 31-23 (62-23 overall; 47-36 ATS)
Matt: Michigan State 48-34 (68-17 overall; 50-33 ATS)
Phil: Michigan State 38-27 (23-9 overall; 11-18 ATS) *joined in Week 5
Huskers defense drives win over MSU
All the talk about Nebraska has been how Scott Frost would transform the Huskers offense. On Saturday, the defense made everyone stand up and take notice in a 9-6 win over Michigan State.
Nebraska managed to kick three field goals in the final quarter to win a game that didn’t see either side score a single touchdown.
“Good teams figure out how to win any kind of game, and that’s a different kind of game that I have been apart of as a coach, winning a game with no touchdowns,” said Nebraska head coach Scott Frost after the game.
“I am so happy for the seniors, so happy for the Blackshirts. Some of these games we’ve won, we’ve been winning on offense, and it was great to see the defense step up today.”
With the Huskers usually high-powered offense bottled up by Michigan State’s quality defense and really bad weather the defensive performance was badly needed.
It was also badly needed after last week’s performance in a shootout win over Illinois
Nebraska’s defense was hit for 35 points and needed to put up 54 points on offense to win. The Huskers defense came in to the game this week having never given up fewer than 34 points to any team in the Big Ten so far this season.
The Huskers defense also stood 12th in the conference, giving up an average of 33.8 points per game through 10 games.
Certainly this group was challenged following that performance against Illinois.
“Every week I’ve been coaching them there’s a little more fight. Today’s the most I’ve seen,” said Frost. “That’s a hard game to win. Even harder to lose. Our guys had to keep grinding, and the defense had to keep coming up with stops.”
Nebraska’s defense didn’t disappoint, holding MSU running back Craig Haward under 90 yards and quarterback Rocky Lombardi to just 145 yards on 15 of 41 passing.
No doubt the fact that MSU came in struggling on offense helped, but this was a huge step forward for the Huskers defense after its struggles earlier this season.
After starting the season 0-6, the Huskers have ripped off wins in 4 of the last 5 games.
In a season of transition, the fact that Nebraska’s defense was able to hold anyone without a touchdown is a massive step in the right direction. That fact wasn’t lost on the coaches or players following the crazy win.
For Chinander and Frost, it’s also a sign that this team is still listening and learning as what seems like a lost season to the outside world is far from it internally.
“I told the guys in the locker room if from a coaching standpoint, or pretty much on everything, I guess, the team could’ve started the season where it is right now, that would’ve been a funny act,” Frost said. “Some of the growing things we had to go through were necessary, and I’m crushed for the seniors we couldn’t get that done quicker.
“This team has been through so much and to be where it is right now and have the second half of the season it’s been having, it makes it really special. And I think the seniors will probably look back on this and think it was a pretty special season after all.”
Nebraska will have an interesting challenge ahead of it next week, as they will face the rival Iowa Hawkeyes after they just went off for a 63-0 victory over the Illinois team that just put up 54 points on Nebraska.
A win in the Heroes Game would be a great way to cap off what many believed was a lost season early on. Doing so with the Huskers defense getting some of its luster back would just be icing on the cake.
Keyshawn Johnson Jr. unsurprisingly transferring from Huskers
Following a summer pot citation and his dad pulling him from school, Keyshawn Johnson Jr. announces his transfer.
Did you know that Keyshawn Johnson Jr. was a member of the Nebraska Cornhuskers program? Chances are, if you blinked you missed his time on campus.
That’s what happens when you get busted for pot possession and your dad brings you home to teach you a lesson or two.
The elder Johnson made sure to make a statement when pulling his kid out of school just days in to his time there. He made it clear that there were higher (no pun intended) expectations of his son.
“One thing you will not do as my son is you will not embarrass Nebraska, you will not embarrass Mike Riley and you will not embarrass this family,” Johnson Sr. told the Omaha World-Herald. “If you mature and you’re ready to resume your football career and academic goals, then Nebraska will be ready to embrace you.”
So, it shouldn’t come as a surprise that the former 4-star recruit with the famous name isn’t going to continue his career at Nebraska.
On Friday, the younger Johnson announced his decision to not return to the University of Nebraska-Lincoln.
Trust the process… pic.twitter.com/xus0UQOmb4
— Keyshawn Jr. (@keyshawnnnn) December 15, 2017
The combination of his citation for marijuana possession and the coaching change likely sealed the deal for this move.
Johnson Jr. enrolled early, coming to Lincoln in January, but suffered an illness that he couldn’t shake for parts of spring practice. He appeared in the spring game, but caught just one pass for 7 yards.
Nebraska could use the depth at wide receiver, but with a new regime in place and his father having no relationship with the new staff this move is not surprising.
Frost turning to Florida to bring speed to Huskers program
Frost is leaning on his Florida ties in hoping to shape his roster in his image quicker than expected.
Scott Frost has technically only been on the job for the Nebraska Cornhuskers for less than a week, but he clearly has had a gameplan in place for a while now.
That much is evident not only by how quickly he’s gotten a staff together, but by the details on the recruiting trail.
Normally it takes time to evaluate what is on a roster in front of you and figure out what is needed. That process didn’t take long (or likely took place last week as he waited to take the job formally), because Frost has attacked the recruiting trail hard in his first week on the job.
So, what is his evaluation of the Huskers program? It is in need of speed, speed and more speed.
Frost has decided that in order to get his team up to speed he needs to do so buy finding that speed right in his old back yard.
It’s a move that makes sense, as Frost has built good relationships in Florida and that is where some of the best high school talent in the country exists today.
Nebraska’s 247Sports site, Huskers Illustrated, had a really good talk on the inner workings of what Frost has done already on the recruiting trail on this week’s Notorious B1G Podcast (because who doesn’t love an all-Big Ten recruiting podcast?)
Mike Riley and Co. spent less time on Florida and more time on the West Coast, which should’ve been expected given Riley’s ties in that direction. But, the crop of pure athletes out West is nothing compared to the depth of speed and athleticism that exists in Florida.
Ironically, Frost’s first offer came from out West as the No. 8-ranked dual-threat quarterback, Adrian Martinez, was offered within hours of Frost getting the job.
That move and all the ones made since his hire show Frost has come in with a clear knowledge of his system, who fits it on the recruiting trail and who fits it currently on the roster. Having that kind of confidence and work-rate are a welcome sight in Lincoln.
But, Frost isn’t just hitting the ground running on the recruiting trail either.
He’s also been taking time to speak to the national media and spread the gospel of what he wants to build at Nebraska. Frost spoke on the Jim Rome Show on Thursday and didn’t buy the notion that recruiting to Lincoln, Neb. is a difficult task.
“There’s absolutely no reason we can’t get kids to Lincoln, Nebraska,” Frost said, via Land of 10. “Kids leave places right now and go everywhere around the country. There’s no reason kids won’t go to Lincoln if they’re going to Columbus, Ann Arbor, and Eugene, Oregon.
“And I think we’re going to create an environment, a football environment in Lincoln that people are going to want to be a part of.”
Success in turning a program around often hinges on the first recruiting class to come in. That’s not to say this class should be put at the feet of Frost and his staff entirely, but if they can put a stamp on an already nice class it could be the one that breaks a mediocre mold for the Huskers program.
No matter what, Frost and his staff aren’t afraid to be aggressive and go after the type of player they need. That alone has to be a refreshing sign of change for the Husker faithful.
Huskers hope Scott Frost hire brings back glory days
Native son returns home to lead program he once was the star quarterback of. Can the glory days return with the Huskers dipping in to their past?
What had become the worst-kept secret in college football’s coaching carousel became official on Saturday afternoon. Just hours after leading his UCF Knights to a crazy 62-55 double overtime win over Memphis in the American Athletic Conference championship game, Frost bolted for a gig back home.
UCF’s 247sports site announced the news, noting that Forst will not coach the team in the upcoming bowl game. However, after the AAC championship game, UCF’s AD noted that Frost and the entire coaching staff would coach through the Peach Bowl.
Nebraska athletics director Bill Moos named Frost the new Huskers head coach, ending a search many thought would start and end with Frost first.
There is no place like home.
There is no place like Nebraska.
— ❄️ Nebraska Football ❄️ (@HuskerFBNation) December 2, 2017
“It is a great honor and privilege to have the opportunity to return to Nebraska and to lead the Husker football program,” Frost said in a statement released by the school. “I have been fortunate to be at a wonderful school the last two years, but Nebraska is a special place with a storied tradition and a fan base which is second to none. I am truly humbled to be hereee. The state of Nebraska and the Husker program mean a great deal to me. This is home.
“I am appreciative of the confidence Bill Moos and our University leadership have in me to lead this program. I would not have the opportunity to be in this position without a lot of great people who have helped me throughout my career. Specifically, I would like to thank Coach Osborne who has played such an integral role in my life over the past two decades, both on and off the field. Go Big Red!”
In bringing a native son and former Huskers quarterback in to the fold to lead the program, Nebraska is clearly hoping the magic of the mid 1990’s can rub off on the program once again.
Frost was integral in the Huskers success in the 90’s, where he was a star quarterback for two years after transferring home from Stanford. He led the program to a 24-2 record as the starter and became just the 10th player in major college football history to pass for 1,000 yards and rush for 1,000 yards.
He had a cup of coffee in the NFL, but was moved from quarterback to safety and just couldn’t find his way in the league.
While thoughts of Frost leading the Huskers offense are likely to bring smiles back to the Husker faithful, the reality of today’s program won’t.
It’s been a rough go since the calendar turned over to the year 2000, as the Huskers haven’t won a single conference championship since 1999.
Frost faces a big challenge, as the Huskers vaunted defense has fallen on hard times and the program just got done with a 4-8 season under Mike Riley. Luckily for the Husker faithful, Frost isn’t going to be caught off-guard by the challenges of a turnaround.
He took over a UCF program that went winless the year before he came to campus and had them 6-7 and going bowling in his first season. This year his team went undefeated in the regular season, joining the Wisconsin Badgers as the only two undefeated teams in the country after the regular season finished up.
Frost also led the Knights to the AAC championship despite a ton of off-field distraction surrounding his job status and rumors about Florida, Nebraska and Oregon interest in his services.
Now the pressure will be on to get the Huskers back to championship football, and soon.